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2024-12-14 00:30:08

Bank of Japan: Japanese companies expect consumer prices to rise by 2.3% in three years, compared with 2.3% in the previous survey; Japanese companies expect consumer prices to rise by 2.2% in five years, compared with 2.2% in the last survey.New Zealand wants to persuade the United States not to impose tariffs after Trump takes office. New Zealand Finance Minister Nicola Willis said that after US President-elect Donald Trump takes office, New Zealand should be exempted from imposing comprehensive tariffs, and asked officials to be sensible to the United States. "Our initial position was please don't do this," Willis said in an interview in Wellington. "We let diplomats show the best of New Zealand."The yield of major inter-bank interest rate bonds generally declined at the beginning of the session, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" fell by 0.5bp to 1.8030%, hitting a record low; The yield of 10-year CDB "24 CDB 15" decreased by 2.25bp to 1.86%, and the yield of 30-year Treasury bond "24 Special Treasury Bond 06" decreased by 2.25bp to 2.02%.


Futures on the Nikkei Stock Exchange of Singapore opened down 175 points to 39,635.Soochow securities: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December. According to the soochow securities Research Report, the CPI of the United States rebounded to +2.75% in November as scheduled, and the CPI that did not exceed expectations cleared the last obstacle for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. In the short term, the combination of low base and high viscosity means that CPI is expected to continue to rebound to +2.8% in December. In the medium term, Trump is expected to drive out illegal immigrants on the first day after taking office, which will aggravate the risk of stagflation in the labor market. However, the intensification of wage inflation stickiness may be concealed by the downward movement of non-agricultural centers in the same period, the expectation of increasing oil prices and the high base in the first half of 2025. The market's concern about "stagnation" may provide room for the Fed to cut interest rates smoothly in the first half of 2025. However, in the second half of 2025, the cumulative interest rate cuts will give support to the economy, the persistence of inflation stickiness and the landing of Trump's tax reduction policy will force the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December, 25bps in March and June next year, and stop cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. The end point of the policy interest rate in 2025 is [3.75,4.0]%.The Military Orchestra of the People's Liberation Army will go to Vietnam to participate in the celebration. Today, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, released a message on the recent military-related issues: At the invitation of the Ministry of National Defense of Vietnam, the Military Orchestra of the People's Liberation Army of China will send a team to perform in Vietnam from December 14 to 23 to participate in the celebration of the 80th anniversary of the founding of the Vietnamese People's Army. This move will help deepen the traditional friendship between the Chinese and Vietnamese armed forces and expand the cultural exchanges between the two armed forces. (CCTV military)


Asiana Airlines: It is estimated that the debt ratio will drop from the previous 1847% to 700%.Media Office in the Gaza Strip: The Israeli army bombed the Nuseilet refugee camp, killing 33 people. According to Palestinian media, from the evening of 12th to the early morning of 13th local time, the Israeli army attacked the central and southern parts of the Gaza Strip, causing a lot of casualties. According to the Gaza Media Office, 33 people were killed and 84 others were missing or injured in the Israeli bombing of Nuseilet refugee camp in central Gaza on the evening of 12th. The Palestinian newspaper Al-Quds reported that Israeli troops bombed a tent for displaced people in Khan Younis, a city in southern Gaza, early on the 13th, killing two people and injuring many others.The moderate increase in inflation in the United States consolidated the expectation of interest rate cuts in December. According to the data released by the US Department of Labor on December 11, local time, the US consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.3% in November, an increase of 0.1 percentage point over October. Inflation continues to rise moderately, which is in line with the market's previous judgment and also supports the expectation that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates this month. However, considering the slowdown in inflation and the increase in uncertainties affecting the economy, many analysts believe that the Fed may slow down the pace of interest rate cuts in the future. (Economic Information Daily)

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